theweatherguy's website

theweatherguy's website

Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts

Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]

About this blog

theweatherguy's website,

"Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life."

Glenn F Schreiber
aka "theweatherguy"

Photos

Weather Definitions

Copy link for RSS feed

Links
These are a few of my favorite links.
National Weather Service

Official Forecasts
Meteorology Glossary

Archives

Weather Archives:

13: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

12: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

11: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

10: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

09: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
08: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
07: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

06: Jan Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Commentary:
Miscellaneous

Find

Sat, 27 Aug 2011
Hurricane Irene Update - Sat 7AM
This weekend's weather will about Hurricane---> Tropical Storm Irene
The models are consistent with the track of the hurricane up along the coast of NJ. While the hurricane is expected to decrease in intensity as it moves north and become a strong tropical storm, it is also expected to interact with a frontal system and jet stream to create possibly historic high rainfall. So while no roofs are expected to be ripped off by winds, record setting flooding and fallen trees will create emergency situations in many areas. Please refer to discussions from the National Weather Service for details.
With the current predicted track, wind damage and possibly record-setting flooding is likely, even in Philadelphia and western suburbs. Rain starts much earlier than previously thought- likely before noon today. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center.

Sat 8/27: Cloudy, with rain, starting around noon in Philadelphia. Heaviest rain and winds tonight into tomorrow morning. High 77.
Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts early, then windy with partial clearing, maybe some sun, during the mid afternoon. High 78.

posted: Aug 27 2011 at 8:04 am

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Thu, 25 Aug 2011
Philly Weekend Weather- Hurricane Irene Update - Thurs PM
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene.
The vast majority of the hurricane models predict the path of Irene to move up close to the NJ coast by early Sunday morning,
With the current predicted track, significant flooding and wind damage is likely, even in Philadelphia, starting Saturday night. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center.

Stay tuned.
Sat 8/27: Cloudy, very warm and very humid. Windy. Chances for intermittent rain and showers starting in the late morning or early afternoon are high. High 80. Heavy rain begins at night.
Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts. High 79.

posted: Aug 25 2011 at 10:27 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link

Philly Weekend Weather- Hurricane Irene Update - Thurs AM
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene.
Last night's models moved the track of the storm closer to the NJ coast. The models are in greater agreement with the track of the storm. That said, the models have all been somewhat off in predicting the position and intensity of the storm over the past few days, so uncertainty still exists. Nonetheless, the storm is large and its areal effects will overshadow small differences the track of the center.
With the current predicted track, significant flooding and wind damage is possible, even in Philadelphia, starting Saturday night. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center.

Stay tuned.
Sat 8/27: Cloudy, very warm and very humid. Windy. Chance of light sprinkles in the afternoon. High 84. Heavy rain begins at night
Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts. High 79. This forecast is tentative and likely to change.

posted: Aug 25 2011 at 8:11 am

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Wed, 24 Aug 2011
Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM (2)
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene.
The latest EMCWF (European) model gives a track closer to NJ while the GFS and more so, the Navy NOGAPS has Irene further away.
To give an idea what's being predicted by the models, the GFS has rain starting Saturday evening in Philadelphia with sustained winds of 30mph and higher gusts by Sunday morning with over 5 inches of rain falling. This is for Philadelphia. Needless to say, conditions at the shore will be much worse, based on the current GFS model track and intensity.
Again, the NOGAPS track is more eastward, with lesser storm effects; it usually is the better model.
Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned.
Sat 8/27: Becoming mostly cloudy, very warm and very humid. Chance of light sprinkles in the afternoon. High 84. Rain begins at night
Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, very windy with gradual clearing late in the day. High 80. This forecast is tentative and likely to change.

posted: Aug 24 2011 at 9:33 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link

Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene. The NOGAPS model continues to lead the pack of other models, with the current path passing increasingly further off of the NJ coast with each successive model run. That said, the path is still close enough to cause some problems for the NJ shore and rain just making it into Philadelphia. The current closest approach to occur Sunday morning into afternoon.
Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned.

posted: Aug 24 2011 at 2:14 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Tue, 23 Aug 2011
Tropical Storm or Hurricane for this Weekend? -Wed PM
This upcoming weekend's forecast will in part be influenced by the track of hurricane Irene. The latest NOGAPS and GFS models bring the storm very close to the NJ coast by late Saturday into Sunday. The NOGAPS, usually more accurate, is further east with the storm, enough so to limit it's impact for NJ and for the PHL area. With grounds so wet, any strong winds will be problematic for trees.
Still to soon to be sure about the track and timing. Stay tuned.

posted: Aug 23 2011 at 9:51 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Sat, 20 Aug 2011
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Update - Sat AM
Some changes, as instability for Saturday has lessened and the frontal passage for Sunday occurs in the evening.
Sat 8/20: Becoming mostly sunny. With a decrease in instability, many areas today will remain dry. (Still some widely scattered storms possible late afternoon.) High 88.
Sun 8/21: Considerable cloudiness, but breaks of sun possible. Good chance of showers and thunderstorms towards evening. High 85.

posted: Aug 20 2011 at 8:39 am

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Thu, 18 Aug 2011
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Thu PM
A difficult forecast for the upcoming weekend due to an unstable cyclonic upper flow which will result in periods of cloudiness and showers and thunderstorms. Since the triggers of this instability will be difficult to time, showers are possible any time, but most likely in the afternoon and early evening.
Sat 8/20: Intervals of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 82.
Sun 8/21: Intervals of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 85.

posted: Aug 18 2011 at 9:48 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Fri, 12 Aug 2011
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Fri PM
High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach late Saturday. Saturday now appears dry, On Sunday, low pressure approaches.
Sat 8/13: Sunny. Increasing clouds late afternoon as low pressure approaches from the west. The NAM and GFS have a chance of showers as early as very late afternoon. High 87.
Sun 8/14: Cloudy with rain much of the day, likely heavy (2+ inches possible), as low pressure moves across us and develops directly over us, according to the GFS. High 79.

posted: Aug 12 2011 at 8:52 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Thu, 11 Aug 2011
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Thurs PM
High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach on Saturday. The GFS has some light showers moving through Saturday morning, although most the day will be dry. On Sunday, low pressure approaches.
Sat 8/13 Sunny. Increasing clouds late afternoon. High 87.
Sun 8/14: Cloudy with rain and showers. Some showers may be heavy in the afternoon. High 84.

posted: Aug 11 2011 at 10:17 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Wed, 10 Aug 2011
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Wed PM
High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach on Saturday. The GFS has some light showers moving through Saturday morning, although most the day will be dry. On Sunday, low pressure approaches.
Sat 8/13 A mix of sun and clouds. A chance of a light shower in the morning. High 87.
Sun 8/14: Cloudy with a chance of showers. Some showers may be heavy in the afternoon. High 84.

posted: Aug 10 2011 at 7:47 pm

[/weather/aug11] permanent link

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.

theweatherguy's website
		Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts
Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
	About this blog theweatherguy's website, "Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life." Glenn F Schreiber aka "theweatherguy" Photos Weather Definitions Copy link for RSS feed Links These are a few of my favorite links. National Weather Service Official Forecasts Meteorology Glossary Archives Weather Archives: 13: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 11: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 10: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 09: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 08: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 07: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 06: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Commentary: Miscellaneous Find	Sat, 27 Aug 2011 Hurricane Irene Update - Sat 7AM This weekend's weather will about Hurricane---> Tropical Storm Irene The models are consistent with the track of the hurricane up along the coast of NJ. While the hurricane is expected to decrease in intensity as it moves north and become a strong tropical storm, it is also expected to interact with a frontal system and jet stream to create possibly historic high rainfall. So while no roofs are expected to be ripped off by winds, record setting flooding and fallen trees will create emergency situations in many areas. Please refer to discussions from the National Weather Service for details. With the current predicted track, wind damage and possibly record-setting flooding is likely, even in Philadelphia and western suburbs. Rain starts much earlier than previously thought- likely before noon today. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center. Sat 8/27: Cloudy, with rain, starting around noon in Philadelphia. Heaviest rain and winds tonight into tomorrow morning. High 77. Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts early, then windy with partial clearing, maybe some sun, during the mid afternoon. High 78. posted: Aug 27 2011 at 8:04 am [/weather/aug11] permanent link Thu, 25 Aug 2011 Philly Weekend Weather- Hurricane Irene Update - Thurs PM This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene. The vast majority of the hurricane models predict the path of Irene to move up close to the NJ coast by early Sunday morning, With the current predicted track, significant flooding and wind damage is likely, even in Philadelphia, starting Saturday night. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center. Stay tuned. Sat 8/27: Cloudy, very warm and very humid. Windy. Chances for intermittent rain and showers starting in the late morning or early afternoon are high. High 80. Heavy rain begins at night. Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts. High 79. posted: Aug 25 2011 at 10:27 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Philly Weekend Weather- Hurricane Irene Update - Thurs AM This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene. Last night's models moved the track of the storm closer to the NJ coast. The models are in greater agreement with the track of the storm. That said, the models have all been somewhat off in predicting the position and intensity of the storm over the past few days, so uncertainty still exists. Nonetheless, the storm is large and its areal effects will overshadow small differences the track of the center. With the current predicted track, significant flooding and wind damage is possible, even in Philadelphia, starting Saturday night. The best place for updates is the National Hurricane Center. Stay tuned. Sat 8/27: Cloudy, very warm and very humid. Windy. Chance of light sprinkles in the afternoon. High 84. Heavy rain begins at night Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, damaging strong winds and gusts. High 79. This forecast is tentative and likely to change. posted: Aug 25 2011 at 8:11 am [/weather/aug11] permanent link Wed, 24 Aug 2011 Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM (2) This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene. The latest EMCWF (European) model gives a track closer to NJ while the GFS and more so, the Navy NOGAPS has Irene further away. To give an idea what's being predicted by the models, the GFS has rain starting Saturday evening in Philadelphia with sustained winds of 30mph and higher gusts by Sunday morning with over 5 inches of rain falling. This is for Philadelphia. Needless to say, conditions at the shore will be much worse, based on the current GFS model track and intensity. Again, the NOGAPS track is more eastward, with lesser storm effects; it usually is the better model. Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned. Sat 8/27: Becoming mostly cloudy, very warm and very humid. Chance of light sprinkles in the afternoon. High 84. Rain begins at night Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, very windy with gradual clearing late in the day. High 80. This forecast is tentative and likely to change. posted: Aug 24 2011 at 9:33 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene. The NOGAPS model continues to lead the pack of other models, with the current path passing increasingly further off of the NJ coast with each successive model run. That said, the path is still close enough to cause some problems for the NJ shore and rain just making it into Philadelphia. The current closest approach to occur Sunday morning into afternoon. Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned. posted: Aug 24 2011 at 2:14 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Tue, 23 Aug 2011 Tropical Storm or Hurricane for this Weekend? -Wed PM This upcoming weekend's forecast will in part be influenced by the track of hurricane Irene. The latest NOGAPS and GFS models bring the storm very close to the NJ coast by late Saturday into Sunday. The NOGAPS, usually more accurate, is further east with the storm, enough so to limit it's impact for NJ and for the PHL area. With grounds so wet, any strong winds will be problematic for trees. Still to soon to be sure about the track and timing. Stay tuned. posted: Aug 23 2011 at 9:51 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Sat, 20 Aug 2011 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Update - Sat AM Some changes, as instability for Saturday has lessened and the frontal passage for Sunday occurs in the evening. Sat 8/20: Becoming mostly sunny. With a decrease in instability, many areas today will remain dry. (Still some widely scattered storms possible late afternoon.) High 88. Sun 8/21: Considerable cloudiness, but breaks of sun possible. Good chance of showers and thunderstorms towards evening. High 85. posted: Aug 20 2011 at 8:39 am [/weather/aug11] permanent link Thu, 18 Aug 2011 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Thu PM A difficult forecast for the upcoming weekend due to an unstable cyclonic upper flow which will result in periods of cloudiness and showers and thunderstorms. Since the triggers of this instability will be difficult to time, showers are possible any time, but most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Sat 8/20: Intervals of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 82. Sun 8/21: Intervals of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 85. posted: Aug 18 2011 at 9:48 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Fri, 12 Aug 2011 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Fri PM High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach late Saturday. Saturday now appears dry, On Sunday, low pressure approaches. Sat 8/13: Sunny. Increasing clouds late afternoon as low pressure approaches from the west. The NAM and GFS have a chance of showers as early as very late afternoon. High 87. Sun 8/14: Cloudy with rain much of the day, likely heavy (2+ inches possible), as low pressure moves across us and develops directly over us, according to the GFS. High 79. posted: Aug 12 2011 at 8:52 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Thu, 11 Aug 2011 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Thurs PM High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach on Saturday. The GFS has some light showers moving through Saturday morning, although most the day will be dry. On Sunday, low pressure approaches. Sat 8/13 Sunny. Increasing clouds late afternoon. High 87. Sun 8/14: Cloudy with rain and showers. Some showers may be heavy in the afternoon. High 84. posted: Aug 11 2011 at 10:17 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Wed, 10 Aug 2011 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Forecast -Wed PM High pressure moves off the coast and a warm front and associated moisture approach on Saturday. The GFS has some light showers moving through Saturday morning, although most the day will be dry. On Sunday, low pressure approaches. Sat 8/13 A mix of sun and clouds. A chance of a light shower in the morning. High 87. Sun 8/14: Cloudy with a chance of showers. Some showers may be heavy in the afternoon. High 84. posted: Aug 10 2011 at 7:47 pm [/weather/aug11] permanent link Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans. The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.