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Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM (2)
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene.
The latest EMCWF (European) model gives a track closer to NJ while the GFS and more so, the Navy NOGAPS has Irene further away.
To give an idea what's being predicted by the models, the GFS has rain starting Saturday evening in Philadelphia with sustained winds of 30mph and higher gusts by Sunday morning with over 5 inches of rain falling. This is for Philadelphia. Needless to say, conditions at the shore will be much worse, based on the current GFS model track and intensity.
Again, the NOGAPS track is more eastward, with lesser storm effects; it usually is the better model.
Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned.
Sat 8/27: Becoming mostly cloudy, very warm and very humid. Chance of light sprinkles in the afternoon. High 84. Rain begins at night
Sun 8/28: Heavy tropical flooding rains, very windy with gradual clearing late in the day. High 80. This forecast is tentative and likely to change.
posted: Aug 24 2011 at 9:33 pm
[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Hurricane Irene Update -Wed PM
This weekend's weather wIll continue to be influenced by hurricane Irene.
The NOGAPS model continues to lead the pack of other models, with the current path passing increasingly further off of the NJ coast with each successive model run. That said, the path is still close enough to cause some problems for the NJ shore and rain just making it into Philadelphia. The current closest approach to occur Sunday morning into afternoon.
Will continue to watch this. Stay tuned.
posted: Aug 24 2011 at 2:14 pm
[/weather/aug11] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.
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