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Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
   

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  • Glenn F Schreiber
    aka "theweatherguy"

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  •        
    Sun, 28 Oct 2012

    Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sun 7 PM
    The latest GFS has joined the NOGAPS (which has been the trendsetter in predicting this storm) in moving Sandy to northern NJ, just south of NYC as it retrogrades through NJ, then into northern PA into north central PA. That said, the area of maximum precipitation will still be in our neck of the woods, but the very highest winds may be further north of us. Still, this storm is large and the other features of heavy rain and high sustained winds of 30-40 mph still hold. The storms hits the coast about 7 PM Monday.

    The heaviest rains will be Monday from morning through evening, coinciding with the highest winds. Check out this website for earlier posts.

    Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

    posted: Oct 28 2012 at 7:06 pm

    [/weather/oct12] permanent link

    Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sun 1 PM
    Not much change with last night's and this morning's models. This storm will be disruptive. The NOGAPS favors taking Sandy into northern NJ while the GFS model has it coming in towards central NJ. It makes little difference, since all the models have kept PHL in the area of maximum precipitation of about 6 or more inches rain, maybe much more. Everything you've heard about this storm remains true, with the tropical Sandy becoming a monster extratropical Nor'easter cyclonic system that retrogrades into PA under the influence of a blocked upper air trough. For "Barometer Fans", the central pressure will pin your barometer down to the rare low of about 28.20 inches! Sustained winds will be 30-35 mph for long periods, with higher gusts.

    The heaviest rains will be Monday from morning through evening, coinciding with the highest winds. Check out this website for earlier posts.

    Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

    posted: Oct 28 2012 at 1:59 pm

    [/weather/oct12] permanent link



    Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

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