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Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts

Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]

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Glenn F Schreiber
aka "theweatherguy"

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Sat, 27 Oct 2012
Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 11 PM
This afternoon's NOGAPS continued to show the storm hitting the coast further north (North Jersey, NYC or LI). Tonight's NAM model has Sandy coming onshore in North Jersey, near NYC about 6 PM Monday. The all important NOGAPS and GFS models don't become available for another hour or so.
Despite a likely shift to a bit further north, the precipitation shield is highest in our area, with at least 6 inches of rain occurring with sustained winds of 30-40 mph. The heaviest rains will be from morning through midnight on Monday. Updates tomorrow. Check out this website for earlier posts.
Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

posted: Oct 27 2012 at 11:25 pm

[/weather/oct12] permanent link

Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 4 PM
While this morning's NOGAPS gave some hope that the storm would move away to our north and east, the latest GFS and NAM models continue predicting the track of the storm into southern NJ. Still not sure if this recent run of the NOGAPS was a fluke or a trend setter. Stay tuned.website for earlier posts.
Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

posted: Oct 27 2012 at 4:10 pm

[/weather/oct12] permanent link

Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 12 PM
The latest NOGAPS just available keeps Sandy offshore from us and heading into New England! I know the official track is into Delaware, but this model run of the NOGAPS is the first suggesting a major shift in the path of the storm that would reduce its impact on us. Will have to see if this trend is picked up by the other models. You heard it here first! Check my website for earlier posts.
Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

posted: Oct 27 2012 at 12:26 pm

[/weather/oct12] permanent link

Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 9 AM
Last night's NOGAPS and GFS continue to show Sandy transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical Nor'easter that undergoes explosive cyclogenesis as it retrogrades westward into the NJ shore. The trend has been for more of a central/northern NJ coastline entry, but due to it's transition to an extratropical cyclone, its size will affect large areas, regardless of where the center moves.
Rainfall totals will range from 6-13 inches of water and central barometric pressure is expected to be about 28.15 inches mercury. (Average sea level pressure is just short of 30.00 inches). Winds are expected to be a sustained 30 mph with higher gusts near 50 or more.
Rain starts Sunday, but the actual storm effects of wind and heavy rains will begin before daybreak on Monday and increase during the day as the storm moves onshore around Monday evening or night.
Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model.

posted: Oct 27 2012 at 9:03 am

[/weather/oct12] permanent link

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.

theweatherguy's website
		Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts
Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
	About this blog theweatherguy's website, "Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life." Glenn F Schreiber aka "theweatherguy" Photos Weather Definitions Copy link for RSS feed Links These are a few of my favorite links. National Weather Service Official Forecasts Meteorology Glossary Archives Weather Archives: 13: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 11: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 10: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 09: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 08: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 07: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 06: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Commentary: Miscellaneous Find	Sat, 27 Oct 2012 Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 11 PM This afternoon's NOGAPS continued to show the storm hitting the coast further north (North Jersey, NYC or LI). Tonight's NAM model has Sandy coming onshore in North Jersey, near NYC about 6 PM Monday. The all important NOGAPS and GFS models don't become available for another hour or so. Despite a likely shift to a bit further north, the precipitation shield is highest in our area, with at least 6 inches of rain occurring with sustained winds of 30-40 mph. The heaviest rains will be from morning through midnight on Monday. Updates tomorrow. Check out this website for earlier posts. Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model. posted: Oct 27 2012 at 11:25 pm [/weather/oct12] permanent link Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 4 PM While this morning's NOGAPS gave some hope that the storm would move away to our north and east, the latest GFS and NAM models continue predicting the track of the storm into southern NJ. Still not sure if this recent run of the NOGAPS was a fluke or a trend setter. Stay tuned.website for earlier posts. Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model. posted: Oct 27 2012 at 4:10 pm [/weather/oct12] permanent link Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 12 PM The latest NOGAPS just available keeps Sandy offshore from us and heading into New England! I know the official track is into Delaware, but this model run of the NOGAPS is the first suggesting a major shift in the path of the storm that would reduce its impact on us. Will have to see if this trend is picked up by the other models. You heard it here first! Check my website for earlier posts. Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model. posted: Oct 27 2012 at 12:26 pm [/weather/oct12] permanent link Severe Storm Sandy Update- Sat 9 AM Last night's NOGAPS and GFS continue to show Sandy transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical Nor'easter that undergoes explosive cyclogenesis as it retrogrades westward into the NJ shore. The trend has been for more of a central/northern NJ coastline entry, but due to it's transition to an extratropical cyclone, its size will affect large areas, regardless of where the center moves. Rainfall totals will range from 6-13 inches of water and central barometric pressure is expected to be about 28.15 inches mercury. (Average sea level pressure is just short of 30.00 inches). Winds are expected to be a sustained 30 mph with higher gusts near 50 or more. Rain starts Sunday, but the actual storm effects of wind and heavy rains will begin before daybreak on Monday and increase during the day as the storm moves onshore around Monday evening or night. Here are my concerns about this storm. I've been following this storm since Tuesday -- Here are background posts regarding the storm where my bets have been on the NOGAPS model. posted: Oct 27 2012 at 9:03 am [/weather/oct12] permanent link Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans. The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.