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Philly Winter Weather Update - Mon 9 PM
The latest NAM model data just became available. QPF values are still over 0.50 inches water which translates into a likely snowfall amount of 6-10 inches. Snow starts in the morning, accumulating about two inches. Snowfall becomes heavy in the afternoon with another 5 inches and another 2 inches in the evening.
There's been high consistency with each model QPF amount.
posted: Jan 20 2014 at 9:22 pm
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Weather Hype!
So what's the story with the TV weather people only talking about Wind Chill Temperatures instead of forecast air temperature. Isn't there enough hype with the weather already? Apparently, they learned nothing from ruining the Philadelphia Flower Show last year. Their hype has never been more exaggerative. I think it's shameful.
posted: Jan 20 2014 at 7:27 pm
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Philly Winter Weather Update - Mon 12 Noon
There has been a major shift in the computer models, with a general consensus now that low pressure will develop off the coast after an arctic frontal passage early Tuesday.
The GFS and NAM models are in rare early agreement that the developing coastal low pressure will have a surface reflection westward over southeastern PA and that 4-7 inches of snow is possible. (Latest models show about 0.45- 0.50 inches water equivalent falling in the immediate PHL area.) Strong winds and frigid temps will accompany this snowfall.
With all models showing snow, there is a higher confidence in this event. That said, this snow event didn't exist on the models just a day ago.
posted: Jan 20 2014 at 12:09 pm
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Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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