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Philly Winter Weather Update - Sun 10:30 PM
The latest GFS model data just available continues the trend showing the greatest precipitation to occur south of PA, into DE and MD. The cold air will suppress the major frontal moisture convergence south of PHL.
It currently appears that PHL will get around 4 inches. Areas just north, in Montgomery and Bucks counties will get 2 inches or less.
posted: Mar 02 2014 at 10:43 pm
[/weather/mar14] permanent link
Philly Winter Weather Update - Sun 9PM
The latest NAM model data just available continues the trend showing the greatest precipitation to occur south of PA, into DE and MD. The cold air will suppress the frontal moisture convergence to our south
As I've mentioned for days, this particular scenario is very hard to predict accurately in advance, and it doesn't surprise me that this "major" storm for Philadelphia will become a fizzled storm for the immediate PHL area. (For Wilmington and Baltimore and Cape May, a still a significant storm.)
It currently appears that the immediate city will get around 4 inches, with even less in the northern suburbs.
posted: Mar 02 2014 at 9:10 pm
[/weather/mar14] permanent link
Philly Winter Weather Update - Sun 12PM
This morning's models are out and the NAM remains emphatic about keeping the heavy precipitation to our south, near Baltimore. The GFS has also cut back on the expected snow totals as well. 4-7 inches is most likely at this point, with emphasis on the lower range. Totals will be lower as one goes further north of PHL.
The position of the stalled front and area of maximum convergence may still change and some uncertainty about snowfall amounts remains. Stay tuned.
posted: Mar 02 2014 at 12:16 pm
[/weather/mar14] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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