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Philly Winter Weather Outlook- Mon 10 PM
Tonight's NAM model has shifted the storm well into late Wednesday and Wednesday night. The latest thermal profile is looking colder and wetter, with ice and sleet more likely and a significant snow accumulation possible by Thursday morning,
There has been considerable model run to run inconstancies and model differences. The trend today has been back towards a more intense low pressure system, similar to that predicted several days ago. Still much uncertainty.
Stay tuned!
posted: Jan 24 2011 at 10:10 pm
[/weather/jan11] permanent link
Philly Winter Weather Outlook- Mon PM
The storm scenario for Wednesday continues to change, as the major part of this storm intensifies late Wednesday into Thursday night. It looks like things start as light sleet and rain early Wednesday morning, (except north and west of the city) and becomes heavy rain Wednesday afternoon. It then transitions back to snow, from west to east Wednesday evening with several inches possible when things clear out very early Thursday morning.
There has been considerable model run to run inconstancies and model differences. The trend today has been back towards a more intense low pressure system, similar to that predicted several days ago. For our area, the track and deformation of the jet continues to show mostly rain for the most of the storm, as warm air pushes in, but stay tuned!
posted: Jan 24 2011 at 8:45 pm
[/weather/jan11] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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