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Philadelphia Weekend Weather Outlook -Sun PM
This coming week will feature a pattern change-- the current zonal jet flow with weak disturbances and temperature changes will be replaced by a relatively deep upper trough moving through and hanging in for the the Thanksgiving weekend.
Low pressure is expected to move in from the west on Thanksgiving Day, bringing rainy conditions. There are differences in the models with the degree of development and the speed of the system. The front may hang up a bit for Friday, with continued showers. The NOGAPS has a much steeper and colder trough than the GFS. I'll fine tune during the week
Climate Forecast Discussion Nov 2010: Solar cycle 24 continues to ramp up. Total solar irradiance has increased, although this solar cycle appears to show lower than predicted activity. Nonetheless, solar flux is now closer to 90 instead of 70 during 2009. The increased thermal background of greenhouse on top of this solar activity should result in much milder temps this fall and winter. Additionally, the increased energy available for low pressure development will likely result in some additional monster storms. Rain or ice storms or snow turning to sleet/rain will be the more likely scenario for us this winter.
posted: Nov 21 2010 at 6:29 pm
[/weather/nov10] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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