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Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
   

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  • Glenn F Schreiber
    aka "theweatherguy"

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    Thu, 02 Sep 2010

    Tropical Weather Update -Thur AM
    The latest storm tracks for Hurricane Earl move it a bit closer to the NJ shoreline. The NOGAPS and one variant of the GFS have it significantly closer. The verification bias for the models continue to show an eastward bias in the 48 hour range.

    Frankly, I'm a bit surprised that there hasn't been more preparation and announcements of a hurricane warning for NJ shoreline. Apparently, the official NHC track of the storm is far enough off the coast that the belief is there won't be significant effects. But I think this storm is too strong and the trends are too far westward not to take this storm seriously.

    Again, I think this storm will be closer than expected and could seriously affect the Jersey shore. I'd be happy to be wrong about this. Stay tuned.

    posted: Sep 02 2010 at 7:39 am

    [/weather/sep10] permanent link



    Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

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