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Philadelphia Winter Weather Update- Thurs Eve Update
This evenings's model runs are have returned to over 0.60 inches water falling mostly afternoon and evening. Warm air aloft may reduce accumulations as snow mixes with sleet.
The statistical models from this morning's models are showing a strong likelihood of anywhere from 0.50 to 1.00 inches water (more in NJ).
Sat 1/10: Cloudy with light snow starting in the morning, then heavier in the afternoon. May mix with sleet, then back to snow in the evening. As much as 3-6 inches possible. High 32.
Sun 1/11: Mostly sunny, windy and very cold. High 31.
posted: Jan 08 2009 at 11:14 pm
[/weather/jan09] permanent link
Philadelphia Winter Weather Update- Thurs Afternoon Update
This afternoon's model runs are less impressive with precip on Saturday, with total water amounts less than 0.20 inches (GFS model). However, the 1 PM model runs are notoriously erratic and not always reliable.
The statistical models from this morning's models are showing a strong likelihood of anywhere from 0.50 to 1.00 inches water (more in NJ).
So with the 1 PM models showing a significant decline in potential snowfall for Sat, we'll wait for tonight's model runs. Will keep the forecast tentative.
Sat 1/10: Tentative: Cloudy with snow likely. As much as 4-5 inches possible. High 32.
Sun 1/11: Mostly sunny, windy and very cold. High 31.
posted: Jan 08 2009 at 6:59 pm
[/weather/jan09] permanent link
Philadelphia Winter Weather Update- Thurs AM Update
The latest GFS model continues with the scenario of a front moving through on Saturday, with low pressure developing over PA as it moves through. The latest GFS has 4-5 inches of snow possible for Saturday, starting early morning and ending evening. The NAM model is somewhat different, with the precipitation arriving later on Saturday with warmer air aloft giving us sleet and rain. We'll go with the faster GFS scenario.
A very cold stormy period is depicted by the GFS for the coming 2 weeks. Next chance of snow and even colder outbreak is this coming Tuesday.
Sat 1/10: Tentative: Cloudy with snow likely. As much as 4-5 inches possible. High 32.
Sun 1/11: Mostly sunny, windy and very cold. High 31.
posted: Jan 08 2009 at 8:13 am
[/weather/jan09] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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