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Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts

Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]

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Glenn F Schreiber
aka "theweatherguy"

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Tue, 19 Aug 2008
Philadelphia Weekend Weather Outlook- Tues PM
One of the few times the GFS has done better than the NOGAPS was today when the GFS accurately predicted the tropical storm to move over FL.
The GFS still has the storm moving across FL into the Atlantic, then redevelops and then moves back over FL into the Gulf. Earlier today, I thought this was hard to believe, but so far, it has happened. The NOGAPS has joined the GFS, but keeps the storm further inland without redevelopment in the Atlantic.
Both show the storm back in the Gulf of Mexico and redeveloping.
Since there is so much uncertainty about the movement of Fay, our upcoming weekend forecast is somewhat uncertain, although the models have it dry and nice here. Stay tuned.

posted: Aug 19 2008 at 8:37 pm

[/weather/aug08] permanent link

Philadelphia Weekend Weather Outlook- Tues AM
Our weather this weekend may depend on the track of the remnants of Tropical storm Fay. I will tell you that there are BIG differences in the models-
The NOGAPS (my preferred model for tropical systems) has Fay moving up the western FL coastline and inland over the FL panhandle and having the moisture brought into our region (actually western PA/OH) over the weekend. HOWEVER, the GFS and NAM have more interesting scenarios where Fay moves across FL into the Atlantic, redevelops and then moves back over FL into the Gulph. Whew, that one is hard to believe! But anything is possible.
Since there is so much uncertainty about the movement of Fay, our upcoming weekend forecast is equally uncertain. Stay tuned.

posted: Aug 19 2008 at 7:32 am

[/weather/aug08] permanent link

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.

theweatherguy's website
		Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts
Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
	About this blog theweatherguy's website, "Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life." Glenn F Schreiber aka "theweatherguy" Photos Weather Definitions Copy link for RSS feed Links These are a few of my favorite links. National Weather Service Official Forecasts Meteorology Glossary Archives Weather Archives: 13: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 11: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 10: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 09: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 08: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 07: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 06: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Commentary: Miscellaneous Find	Tue, 19 Aug 2008 Philadelphia Weekend Weather Outlook- Tues PM One of the few times the GFS has done better than the NOGAPS was today when the GFS accurately predicted the tropical storm to move over FL. The GFS still has the storm moving across FL into the Atlantic, then redevelops and then moves back over FL into the Gulf. Earlier today, I thought this was hard to believe, but so far, it has happened. The NOGAPS has joined the GFS, but keeps the storm further inland without redevelopment in the Atlantic. Both show the storm back in the Gulf of Mexico and redeveloping. Since there is so much uncertainty about the movement of Fay, our upcoming weekend forecast is somewhat uncertain, although the models have it dry and nice here. Stay tuned. posted: Aug 19 2008 at 8:37 pm [/weather/aug08] permanent link Philadelphia Weekend Weather Outlook- Tues AM Our weather this weekend may depend on the track of the remnants of Tropical storm Fay. I will tell you that there are BIG differences in the models- The NOGAPS (my preferred model for tropical systems) has Fay moving up the western FL coastline and inland over the FL panhandle and having the moisture brought into our region (actually western PA/OH) over the weekend. HOWEVER, the GFS and NAM have more interesting scenarios where Fay moves across FL into the Atlantic, redevelops and then moves back over FL into the Gulph. Whew, that one is hard to believe! But anything is possible. Since there is so much uncertainty about the movement of Fay, our upcoming weekend forecast is equally uncertain. Stay tuned. posted: Aug 19 2008 at 7:32 am [/weather/aug08] permanent link Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans. The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.