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Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts

Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]

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Glenn F Schreiber
aka "theweatherguy"

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Mon, 28 Aug 2006
Heavy Rains for the Weekend??
The NOGAPS model is my model of choice to track tropical storms. The current NOGAPS (and backed up by the GFS) has a weak tropical storm/hurricane affecting Florida and then moving up the coast, redeveloping as an extra-tropical noreaster as it gets blocked by high pressure to its north. Currently, heavy-flooding rain and high winds are forecast for Philadelphia and especially the Jersey coast from Friday through Saturday. The GFS continues with the same low pressure causing showers through Sunday.
That said, these scenarios are difficult to forecast, and other models (Canadian, UK, and the DGEX) have the storm redeveloping as a hurricane off of SC and moving out to sea.
While the NOGAPS timing is often a bit off, its forecast track needs to be highly considered.

posted: Aug 28 2006 at 8:03 pm

[/weather/aug06] permanent link

Week Weather Outlook
An interesting week, as we'll have some more rain/showers over the next two days, then fair skies from Wednesday through Friday.
Hurricane Ernesto: The Navy NOGAPS model continues to move Ernesto into western Florida on Tues and then moves inland, parallel to the coastline into our area by late Friday, bringing us very heavy rains Friday into Saturday. We need to watch this.

posted: Aug 28 2006 at 6:33 am

[/weather/aug06] permanent link

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.

theweatherguy's website
		Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts
Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
	About this blog theweatherguy's website, "Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life." Glenn F Schreiber aka "theweatherguy" Photos Weather Definitions Copy link for RSS feed Links These are a few of my favorite links. National Weather Service Official Forecasts Meteorology Glossary Archives Weather Archives: 13: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 11: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 10: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 09: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 08: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 07: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 06: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Commentary: Miscellaneous Find	Mon, 28 Aug 2006 Heavy Rains for the Weekend?? The NOGAPS model is my model of choice to track tropical storms. The current NOGAPS (and backed up by the GFS) has a weak tropical storm/hurricane affecting Florida and then moving up the coast, redeveloping as an extra-tropical noreaster as it gets blocked by high pressure to its north. Currently, heavy-flooding rain and high winds are forecast for Philadelphia and especially the Jersey coast from Friday through Saturday. The GFS continues with the same low pressure causing showers through Sunday. That said, these scenarios are difficult to forecast, and other models (Canadian, UK, and the DGEX) have the storm redeveloping as a hurricane off of SC and moving out to sea. While the NOGAPS timing is often a bit off, its forecast track needs to be highly considered. posted: Aug 28 2006 at 8:03 pm [/weather/aug06] permanent link Week Weather Outlook An interesting week, as we'll have some more rain/showers over the next two days, then fair skies from Wednesday through Friday. Hurricane Ernesto: The Navy NOGAPS model continues to move Ernesto into western Florida on Tues and then moves inland, parallel to the coastline into our area by late Friday, bringing us very heavy rains Friday into Saturday. We need to watch this. posted: Aug 28 2006 at 6:33 am [/weather/aug06] permanent link Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans. The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.