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Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts

Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]

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Glenn F Schreiber
aka "theweatherguy"

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Fri, 25 Aug 2006
Weekend Weather Forecast- Friday PM Update
It appears that we're entering a less-than-certain forecast scenario. The latest GFS and NAM has showers in the overnight period and into Saturday morning. Cloudy skies for much of Saturday. It appears that the frontal boundary has moved a bit further south at least this evening. The last run of the WRF has this boundary moving north for Sunday. As mentioned yesterday, a slight change in the frontal boundary position will make or break the forecast.
Sat 8/26: Cloudy with showers lingering in the morning then mostly cloudy, but with breaks of sun possible. Warm and humid. High 79. NJ Beaches: A cloudy start with showers possible in the morning. Then some sun may break out during the afternoon. High 78. (An easterly flow may keep things overcast)
Sun 8/27: Partly cloudy, some sun. Warm and humid. High 83. NJ Beaches: A mix of sun and clouds. No rain expected.

posted: Aug 25 2006 at 10:55 pm

[/weather/aug06] permanent link

Weekend Weather Forecast- Friday
The models are consistent with showers developing along a warm front that will be stalled just north of our area during the weekend. Both the GFS and WRF keep most if not all of the showers northern Bucks county and central/north Jersey. It wouldn't take much for the forecast to fall through. The Model Output Statistics (MOS) are forecasting clouds for Saturday and Sunday, but I think they often overstate the cloud cover.
Sat 8/26: Considerable cloudiness, but with breaks of sun. Warm and humid. High 85. Showers possible but not likely. NJ Beaches: More sun, less clouds. No rain.
Sun 8/27: Continued cloudy with breaks of sun. Warm and humid. High 84. NJ Beaches: A mix of sun and clouds. No rain expected.

posted: Aug 25 2006 at 2:29 pm

[/weather/aug06] permanent link

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.

theweatherguy's website
		Philadelphia Weekend Weather and Storm Forecasts
Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
	About this blog theweatherguy's website, "Thoughts and comments on Philadelphia Weather and Daily Life." Glenn F Schreiber aka "theweatherguy" Photos Weather Definitions Copy link for RSS feed Links These are a few of my favorite links. National Weather Service Official Forecasts Meteorology Glossary Archives Weather Archives: 13: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 11: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 10: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 09: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 08: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 07: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 06: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 05: Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Commentary: Miscellaneous Find	Fri, 25 Aug 2006 Weekend Weather Forecast- Friday PM Update It appears that we're entering a less-than-certain forecast scenario. The latest GFS and NAM has showers in the overnight period and into Saturday morning. Cloudy skies for much of Saturday. It appears that the frontal boundary has moved a bit further south at least this evening. The last run of the WRF has this boundary moving north for Sunday. As mentioned yesterday, a slight change in the frontal boundary position will make or break the forecast. Sat 8/26: Cloudy with showers lingering in the morning then mostly cloudy, but with breaks of sun possible. Warm and humid. High 79. NJ Beaches: A cloudy start with showers possible in the morning. Then some sun may break out during the afternoon. High 78. (An easterly flow may keep things overcast) Sun 8/27: Partly cloudy, some sun. Warm and humid. High 83. NJ Beaches: A mix of sun and clouds. No rain expected. posted: Aug 25 2006 at 10:55 pm [/weather/aug06] permanent link Weekend Weather Forecast- Friday The models are consistent with showers developing along a warm front that will be stalled just north of our area during the weekend. Both the GFS and WRF keep most if not all of the showers northern Bucks county and central/north Jersey. It wouldn't take much for the forecast to fall through. The Model Output Statistics (MOS) are forecasting clouds for Saturday and Sunday, but I think they often overstate the cloud cover. Sat 8/26: Considerable cloudiness, but with breaks of sun. Warm and humid. High 85. Showers possible but not likely. NJ Beaches: More sun, less clouds. No rain. Sun 8/27: Continued cloudy with breaks of sun. Warm and humid. High 84. NJ Beaches: A mix of sun and clouds. No rain expected. posted: Aug 25 2006 at 2:29 pm [/weather/aug06] permanent link Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans. The weatherguy.net home page has been visited times since October 2003.