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Glenn F. Schreiber DMD and Glenn Schreiber is theweatherguy writing about Philadelphia Weather [radar] [surface map] [disclaimer]
   

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  • Glenn F Schreiber
    aka "theweatherguy"

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  •        
    Sat, 01 Jul 2006

    July 4th Weekend Update- Sat AM
    The GFS continues to be inconsistent with the timing of a disturbance that will approach us, now Tuesday. The GFS gives us considerable rain on Tuesday afternoon. However, the new NAM/WRF (North American Mesoscale Model) has a much more optimistic forecast for both days.

    In the past, I would have discounted the NAM but the new NAM, based on WRF physics is proving to be much better than the old NAM (base on the Eta physics). Indeed, the NAM correctly predicted the showers last night that affected northern suburbs around Philadelphia. We'll see how it does for the coming weekend.

    Sat 7/1: Mostly sunny. High 89. For the shore, a seabreeze will keep temperatures cool, close to 80.

    Sun 7/2: Sunny. Some increase in clouds late in the afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms early evening. High 93. For the shore: A seabreeze will again keep things cool. Thunderstorms will dissipate at the shore.

    Mon 7/3: Partly sunny, partly cloudy. High in the 80s.

    Tue 7/4: Considerable cloudiness. Chance of showers in the afternoon.

    posted: Jul 01 2006 at 1:25 pm

    [/weather/jun06] permanent link

    July 4th Weekend Update- Sat AM
    The GFS continues to be inconsistent with the timing of a disturbance that will approach us, now Tuesday. The GFS gives us considerable rain on Tuesday afternoon. However, the new NAM/WRF (North American Mesoscale Model) has a much more optimistic forecast for both days.

    In the past, I would have discounted the NAM but the new NAM, based on WRF physics is proving to be much better than the old NAM (base on the Eta physics). Indeed, the NAM correctly predicted the showers last night that affected northern suburbs around Philadelphia. We'll see how it does for the coming weekend.

    Sat 7/1: Mostly sunny. High 89. For the shore, a seabreeze will keep temperatures cool, close to 80.

    Sun 7/2: Sunny. Some increase in clouds late in the afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms early evening. High 93. For the shore: A seabreeze will again keep things cool. Thunderstorms will dissipate at the shore.

    Mon 7/3: Partly sunny, partly cloudy. High in the 80s.

    Sun 7/4: Partly cloudy/sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. High mid 80s.

    posted: Jul 01 2006 at 7:53 am

    [/weather/jul06] permanent link



    Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.

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