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Winter Weather Update 11 PM
Tonight's GFS model continues to show wrap around moisture and cold air Saturday night- snow starting about 10PM. A total of 0.24 inches water (QPF) translates into 2-3 inches of snow by daybreak Sunday. Information about the models can be found at here.
As usual, the NAM model shows nothing happening Saturday evening. I'm ignoring the NAM model.
I'll update tomorrow.
posted: Jan 13 2006 at 11:09 pm
[/weather/jan06] permanent link
The GFS model has snow for Saturday night
The latest GFS model has precipitation continuing into much of Saturday night. Temperatures at the surface and at critical levels of the atmosphere drop below freezing about 10PM Saturday night. Several inches of snow is possible by daybreak Sunday, according to the latest GFS model.
The models have been inconsistent with this scenario. Confidence is not as high as usual.
b>Sat 1/14: Rain througout the day, continuing into the evening. Becoming WINDY. The latest GFS has rain changing to snow about 10 PM Saturday night. Several inches are possible by Sunday morning. High in the upper 40s, falling in the late afternoon into the 30s by evening.
Sun 1/15: A mix of sun and clouds windy and colder. High near 40.
I'll update this evening and tomorrow morning.
posted: Jan 13 2006 at 5:22 pm
[/weather/jan06] permanent link
Probability of Snow for Late Saturday night
Statistical breakdown for snow Saturday night. Orange is 70%.
posted: Jan 13 2006 at 7:46 am
[/weather/jan06] permanent link
Friday Weather Update for Philadelphia
Low pressure off the coast Friday and Saturday will bring heavy rain Friday night and wrap around rain and showers through Saturday. Winds pick up late in the day on Saturday and temperatures will fall. It appears that some wrap around moisture and cold air aloft may result in a coating of snow before daybreak on Sunday.
Sat 1/14: Rain before daybreak will taper off to showers during the day. Mild temps initially, but will fall in the late afternoon as winds pick up. There's a chance of snow showers late at night, perhaps giving a coating of snow by Sunday morning.. High in the upper 40s, falling in the late afternoon.
Sun 1/15: A mix of sun and clouds windy and colder. High near 40.
posted: Jan 13 2006 at 7:35 am
[/weather/jan06] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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