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Weekend Weather Update
Examination of satellite imagery as well as latest GFS MOS output suggests more clouds for the weekend than previously thought. The frontal boundary is not moving very far south, and the high pressure system is shifting to our north, rather than moving in from the west. Some mesoscale models even have some showers for the Philadelphia area for Saturday.
Sat 7/2: Mostly cloudy early, the sun breaks through occasionally to partly cloudy conditions during the afternoon. If the WRF and RUC models are correct, there's even a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. High near 80.
Sun 7/3: If high pressure builds in, partly to mostly sunny. We'll have to watch this front to our south, if it stays stationery, more clouds than sun. High near 82.
Mon 7/4: Unclear forecast. Perhaps mostly cloudy. High in the low 80s. We have to watch the front to our south.
Shore Forecast: Slower clearing on Saturday, as clouds will linger into the early afternoon. Cooler temps (upper 70s) and a bit more clouds than Philadelphia, all three days. Areas to our south (Cape May, DE,) may have more clouds and even showers.
posted: Jul 02 2005 at 10:07 am
[/weather/july05] permanent link
Weekend Weather Update
There has been much optimism in the weekend forecast based on high pressure building in for the weekend. That still appears to be the case, but the front has stalled a bit, just to our south and offshore. The GFS had hinted at this as early as Thursday, as mentioned in my previous forecasts, but the optimistic forecast won out. We'll see if that optimism was warranted. The NAM still has us clearing out, but the GFS continues with a stalled front near us, giving us a bit more clouds than previously thought today. Much more uncertainty than previously thought for the weekend forecast. Areas at the shore and south will have more clouds than expected.
Sat 7/2: Cloudy early, the sun breaks through to partly cloudy conditions during the afternoon. High near 80.
Sun 7/3: If high pressure builds in, partly to mostly sunny. We'll have to watch this front to our south. High near 82.
Mon 7/4: Partly sunny. High in the low 80s. We have to watch the front to our south.
Shore Forecast: Slower clearing on Saturday, as some clouds will linger into the early afternoon.Temperatures will be a few degrees cooler, closer to 80 on all three days. Cooler temps (upper 70s) and a bit more clouds than Philadelphia, all three days. Areas to our south (Cape May, DE,) may have more clouds.
posted: Jul 02 2005 at 5:58 am
[/weather/july05] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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