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Heavy Rain Update - Sun PM
The low pressure system has just reached the coastline, and is developing off the DE coastline.
Heavy rains will lighten somewhat later this evening. The afternoon model runs of the GFS and NAM has some rain/showers continuing through Monday. About another 0.65 inches of water after 8 PM. according to the NAM. The GFS suggests that wet snow may mix in with the rain showers during the day Monday. (No accumulation)
Winds will pickup later.
posted: Apr 15 2007 at 5:59 pm
[/weather/apr07] permanent link
Heavy Rain Update - Sun Late AM
Latest NAM and GFS models now in. The NAM continues with an additional 2-3 inches of rain between now and 8 PM this evening. The GFS less, but still over an 1.5+. (We've had over two inches of rain already.) The NAM is doing well with this storm.
Looking at the current surface data analysis, the low pressure coastal storm, believe it or not, has just started forming off of the DE coastline. (This rain is from the surface low that was in Tennessee.) It will be interesting to see how the rain continues as the energy and angular momentum of the inland low becomes transferred to the circulation of the coastal system. The winds will start picking up this afternoon as the coastal low pressure starts bombing out.
Updates later
posted: Apr 15 2007 at 11:42 am
[/weather/apr07] permanent link
Heavy Rain Update - Sun AM
I can't believe it, but last night's (2AM) NAM cranks out well over 5 inches of rain for us. I have never seen the NAM have numbers this high, except during a hurricaine. The GFS cranks out 4 inches of rain! Wow.
It looks like we'll have some snow showers on Monday. I'll update again later this morning when the new models come out (10-11 AM)
Sun 4/15: Cloudy, very WINDY with heavy rain. Precipitation will approach 5 inches of rain! High 49. Winds continue into Monday with possible snow showers Monday.
posted: Apr 15 2007 at 6:55 am
[/weather/apr07] permanent link
Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and provide this information as a hobby and for entertainment (mostly my own :-) . While attempts are made to predict the weather as best as I can, use at your own risk! I am NOT responsible for any direct or indirect consequential injury/damages due to your use of these forecasts. Always check the NWS Official Forecast for your final plans.
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