[su_note note_color=”#ffffff”]Updated Thu 08:05 AM — Last night’s models continue with the same timing of the thunderstorms Thursday evening.  Some early scattered activity possible about 5 PM, but the main thunderstorm complex is predicted for 10 PM -12 midnight. [/su_note]

[su_note note_color=”#ffffff”]Updated Thu 07:20 AM — Last night’s models continue with the same timing of the thunderstorms Thursday evening.  Some early scattered activity possible about 6 PM, but the main thunderstorm complex is predicted for 10 PM -12 midnight [/su_note]

So, no forecaster and no model had predicted the bow-echo storms at noon today. The high temperature never reached the highly advertised 90°+ that had been predicted.

Last night’s models as well as the early morning HRRR model were particularly misleading; they certainly led me astray.   Had I only stayed with last evening’s forecast…

Let’s move forward.

Thursday’s expected storms are forecast to occur between 6 PM and midnight, with mid to late evening (9-midnight) most likely. Heaviest rain and dynamics stay to our south.