#Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #drought
Posted Tuesday 10/22/24 @ 4:27 PM — As mentioned yesterday, two cold fronts will move through in the coming days; one late Wednesday night into Thursday and another late Friday night into Saturday.
These frontal passages have been forecast to be dry, but today’s ECMWF and Canadian RGEM show a deeper trough moving through with enough lift for with some sprinkles, mainly in NJ late Wednesday night. The few sprinkles forecast are supported by the experimental REFS. (The ECMWF-AIFS shows no showers.)
We’re only talking a one or two hundredths of an inch in a few locations.
During the weekend, our current well above average temperatures will drop to noticeably cooler levels.
The GraphCast AI-Machine Learning version of the GFS has moved the chance of rain here further down the road into November from yesterday’s forecast. So the drought continues.
No Rain
It’s been a long time since things seemed so dry outside. And the current extended range forecasts keep thing dry for us over the next two weeks!
Yes, there will be two cold fronts moving through this week. The first one will result in a familiar pattern of having any rain shear off to the far north and west of the city—
Another cold front moves through Saturday. The models had been forecasting some light showers for us, but those have all but disappeared in the forecast—
I’m still playing with the highly experimental AI-Machine Learning version of the GFS. It still seems to show the first chance of any substantial rain here is November 3rd!
All I can say is “Wow”.