WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST

Spring begins Saturday morning at 5:37 EDT. (Average high for this coming week is 55º.)

A simple forecast for this weekend. High pressure at the surface and an upper level ridge will bring sunny skies for both Saturday and Sunday.

GFS v 16 forecast for Saturday at 1 PM.  (Click on image for a larger view.)

We’ll have slightly above average temperatures

High temperatures 57 ± 2º Saturday and Sunday 59º ± 3º

Winds will be light—

NBM Wind forecast  (Click on image for a larger view.)

A TASTE OF WINTER ON FRIDAY

Forecast Updated Thu 7:38 PM — Today’s models continue the trend of diminished transition to snow Friday morning; some models have eliminated that possibility entirely. Any changeover will occur before daybreak. Maximum wind gusts also occur about 2-4 AM. Friday will still be windy and chilly.


 

Forecast Updated Thu 7:30 AM — Last night’s models have begun to play down the amount of snow Friday morning.   The changeover to snow will occur around daybreak and the snow tapers off quickly.  Peak wind gusts, near 50 mph, will occur earlier as well, before daybreak.   Still very windy through Friday.


from Wednesday evening…

I wish I could say this coming Friday will be our last taste of winter this season, but weather forecasting beyond a week is fraught with limitations.

That said, most of today’s models continue with some heavy rain on Thursday with low pressure subsequently moving off to our south on Friday. 

Cold air will be swept in behind the surface low and there is the expectation that a period of snow will develop Friday morning, as early as daybreak for some models but mostly likely around 8-9 AM.  A few hours of rain changing to sleet, then all snow is predicted as the precipitation tapers off.

Rapid Refresh Model (RAP) for 9 AM Friday morning. (violet is snow) (Click on image for a larger view.)

Surfaces will be wet and ground surfaces will not have chilled much, so little accumulation is expected; yet a coating of snow is possible according to the model blend (NBM).

As cold and WINDY as it will be on Friday and Saturday, look for moderating temperatures by Sunday.   High wind gusts, according to the RAP

RAP Wind forecast Meteogram  (Click on image for a larger view.)

Next week promises temperatures in the 60s!  It won’t be long before the focus of this blog will be thunderstorms, not snow.