Note that the NBM mean temperature’s sd (standard deviation) is very large. Be advised that several models have high temperatures only in the upper 40s!
An interesting weather week coming up, as a tropical system will move into the Louisiana area and merge with a strong non-tropical low pressure system in the Midwest. This will affect us later in the week, likely Thursday into Friday.
GEFS Model Forecast Wed 11 AM (Click on image for a larger view.)
The models overstated the cloudiness for this afternoon big time. A beautiful afternoon. I guess there was a good reason the NBM showed such high uncertainty.
While there had been uncertainty about the cloud forecast for this afternoon, the latest models show significant cloudiness this afternoon and the NAM-NEST, HIRESW and NBM show the possibility of scattered light sprinkles moving in about 2 PM from the east.
This morning’s low temperatures at 7 AM, based on the RTMA (Real Time Mesoscale Analysis)
RTMA temperatures at 7 AM Sunday morning (Click on image for a larger view.)
