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Update Mon 03/20 @ 9:42 AM — Spring begins at 5:24 EDT today and we’ll be seeing milder temperatures (actually, much milder temperatures) beginning Tuesday.

With all the talk on the radio about how warm it will be later this week, there’s not as much being said about the expected significant increase in clouds and likelihood of rain, perhaps as early as Thursday.

Currently, most models are showing rain moving in during the day Thursday with possible periods of moderate rain Friday and especially Saturday.

Today’s 06z NAEFS – There’s been good run to run consistency with this ensemble forecast for Friday and Saturday. The ECMWF and GFS operational models also show this multi-centered series of low pressure systems moving into our area. (Click on image for a larger view.)

Previously Posted Sun 5:03 PM —

A quiet first part of the week is expected, as high pressure that brought us the cold weather on Sunday moderates Monday through early Wednesday. Fair skies with moderating temperatures Monday through much of Wednesday.

Here’s the current forecast (SREF) for Tuesday evening—

SREF forecast for Tuesday evening. High pressure over the east coast will move out to sea. A cold front with some moisture (1) will bring some light showers here late Wednesday. A series of disturbances (2) on the west coast will eventually move eastward. Friday and next Saturday look to be wet at this time. (Click on image for a larger view.)