Tag Archives: SPC Mesoscale Analysis Page

THIS WEEK’S WEATHER

#weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Rainfall Totals

Update Sat 06/24 @ 8:15 AM

MRMS rain gauge – radar rainfall totals through 7 AM Saturday. (Click on image for a larger view.)

Rain Update

Update Fri 06/23 @ 4:29 PM — Many of us are finally seeing some moderate to heavy rain that’s been over-promised over the past few days.

At 1:30 PM, things were beginning to develop well to our south—

At 1: 30 PM -Satellite Water Vapor – Radar- with RAP Omega (PVV- yellow contours). Colder moisture tops (a) with areas of vertical motion- yellow contours (b) and developing mesoscale complex (c). (Click on image for a larger view.)

At 4 PM—

4 PM RADAR wih RAP model Omega (yellow contours) Strong system moving through with more on the way. (Click on image for a larger view.)

I always like to go back and look at this morning’s models to see if any of them got this forecast right. It looks like the HRESW models along with the HREF ensemble did pretty good with this forecast. Unfortunately, one never knows which model group, if any, are going to be forecasting anything close to reality.


Where can I get thunderstorm forecast severity data?

Do you want to try your hand at predicting thunderstorms?

An excellent site for just about anything you might need (with the exception of downloading your own data and doing the computations) is the SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis page. Take a look.

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