Category Archives: Winter Weather

WINTER IS NOT OVER

[su_box title=”Forecast Update For Friday Snow” box_color=”#defcdc” title_color=”#000000″]QPF values remain in the 0.10 inch range. An earlier start for the light snow on Friday (3-5 PM) suggests the snow will fall before temperatures drop, especially within the city limits.

So little accumulation expected in the city, just outside the city, north and west, about a coating to 1 inch of snow possible.

When dealing with QPF values in this low range, this light snow could easily disappear in the coming model runs. [/su_box]

Winter is maintaining a presence well into March.  A fast moving clipper type system will move across our area late Friday afternoon into evening. The QPF with this system is 0.13 inches water.

About 1-1.5 inches of snow will accumulate Friday evening and end about 2 AM Saturday morning.

A warm up late Saturday with rain into Sunday is the current outlook.  Then a return to somewhat below average temperatures.

STORM UPDATE 10 PM

Tonight’s NAM has become available.  It cranks out an amazing amount of precipitation.  QPF from 7 PM to 2 AM is 0.72 inches of water.  We’re already half-way through.

In my neck of the woods just northwest of the city, it’s been a mix for several hours.   We have about 2.5 inches of snow/sleet accumulation on the wooden deck, less on paved surfaces.

The mix of sleet,  snow and rain should expand northwestward until about 11 PM to the position shown in green.

Latest NAM- northwestern extent of mixed precipitation (green shaded) at 11 PM

After 11 PM, it should start  moving back southeastward, changing the mix back to all snow. By midnight to 1 AM, even Philadelphia will have the mix change to snow.

Depending upon your location, additional accumulation will occur, possibly 2 more inches, more north and west.  Temperatures remain in the 32 to 33 degree range.

However, the remaining snow tapers off rapidly and ends after 2 -3 AM tonight.