From Wednesday evening…
The models have been on-board with moderate to heavy thunderstorms moving through our area about 10-11PM tonight.
Severe parameters are in the moderate range, but precipitable water values (PWAT) are very high, so some heavy downpours are expected this evening. The storms are fast moving— expect some very gusty winds with these storms, as they quickly move through.
A front moves through Thursday early evening between 5 and 8 PM. I’ll be updating tomorrow morning on those storms.
Addendum 9:07 PM: Tonight’s storms are expected to diminish in intensity as they move into NJ. Model blend thunderstorm probability at 10 PM—