This morning’s surface temperatures are already running 6-8ºbelow last night’s model forecasts.

Add some dynamic cooling if we get high precipitation rates and the rain forecast may be off.  We’ll have to watch if a mix with or a change to snow occurs earlier than previously forecast.

It looks like the rain moves in about 10AM to noon on Friday. There’s still a good chance that wet snow mixes in  (non-accumulating)   between 4 and 6 PM and tapers off during the evening hours.

Here’s the latest High Resolution Ensemble Model  (the version I lately prefer):  the HIRESW-ARW MEM2.  The arrows point to the lowest critical temperature line for snow moving through at 4 PM- 6PM—