This morning’s HRESW-ARW2 did remarkably well at predicting the thunderstorms that are just going to affect our area this evening.

Current Radar at 5:29 PM—

HIRESW-ARWMEM2 model from this morning, showing the same split maxima in precip—

The HIRESW was the only model from this morning that really got this right.   It’s showing 2-3 inches of rain tonight in some areas.  Some models have the rain falling apart, others don’t.   We’ll find out.

More on the weekend forecast later.