Fourth of July Weekend Outlook

For several weeks, the long range models were showing a cloudy, rainy forecast for the upcoming  Fourth of July weekend.

Things have changed, and the latest GFS model has the rain being suppressed just to our south as high pressure builds in with beautiful weather.

With this boundary being just to our south, things could easily change,  Right now, things are looking good.

Philly Weekend Weather Forecast

High pressure is expected to nose in from the northeast giving us sunny skies, lower dew points and seasonably warm temperatures.

Both Saturday and Sunday will be sunny with high temperatures 83-85 degrees.

The models haven’t been doing well predicting placement of showers and thunderstorms over the past two weeks. As an example, the heavy rains that had been expected Thursday ended up in West Virginia.

That said, the long range GFS model is showing  a somewhat wet and unsettled period for us over the upcoming Fourth of July weekend. Stay tuned.

Philly Weekend Weather Forecast

A large elongated area of high pressure will center itself over our region for the weekend  giving us sunny skies and warm temperatures with low dew points.

GFS forecast for Sunday afternoon.
GFS forecast for Sunday afternoon.

Fair skies both days .  Saturday high temperature 83 and Sunday high temperature 88 .  Dew points remain in the comfortable 50s until Sunday evening. Enjoy!

 

Weather Update

The showers never materialized anywhere near Philadelphia yesterday.   Except for an isolated shower near Reading, the entire area was dry.   So much for the HRRR model, (which has been very good, but clearly not perfect.)

A cold front is moving towards us this morning, but its passage around noon will be dry,  maybe with a few clouds. Cooler and low dew point air will be filtering in during the afternoon.  Too dry aloft even for instability clouds.  So it will be sunny and breezy.  High 83.

Weather… and other things "up in the air"