[su_box title=”Weather Outlook Updates ” box_color=”#defcdc” title_color=”#000000″]The latest NAM brings the weekend in-range.
Saturday looks to be sunny but very windy!
Saturday looks to be dry… cloudy in the morning with clearing and sun in the afternoon. Very windy!
Sunday is looking drier and partly sunny. Uncertain forecast for Sunday – NAM and GFS are quite different.
(This morning’s GFS is more pessimistic about Sunday with showers.)
Today’s models haven’t done well. Neither the NAM nor the GFS had predicted the light showers this afternoon! The weekend forecast is probably low a low confidence forecast. My rule of thumb- if the models are wrong in the short term, they are not reliable in the longer term.
A series of low pressure systems will affect our area over the next week, following a path of a zonal (flat) jet flow.
The low pressure system bringing rain on Friday is expected to depart and intensify on Saturday over New England. For Saturday, we will have a mix of sun and clouds and high temps near 68. It will be windy.
Another low pressure system will affect our area on Sunday. There are large differences in the track of this low, with the GFS-FV3 having the low move to our north while the GFS has it right over us. The track will determine the amount of showers/rain we will get. Right now it appears the precipitation will be light. There’s a large range of temperatures forecast as well. But too much uncertainty right now in the Sunday forecast. Stay tuned.