I thought it was going to rain? Me too! So what’s with the forecast?
Last night’s NAM data (which comes out later, between 10 and 11 PM due to daylight savings time), showed some changes with the forecast and I tried to patch my forecast with a quick update at 11 PM. I failed to fully examine the changed humidity fields— which showed this sunshine for the morning hours today.
So the models continue with some sun and essentially dry conditions for this morning . Things change after 12PM today, as low pressure develops to our south and things become more unstable. Scattered thunderstorms can form almost any time after 12 PM today and the probability increases considerably during the late afternoon.
HRRR 4PM Saturday simulated radar forecast
Like last Saturday, these storms will not move in as a line, but will develop in place and be slow movers. Most areas will have had showers and thunderstorms by 6 pm, although the areal coverage won’t be large at any one time.
This weekend’s weather is shaping up to be somewhat similar to last weekend’s Sunday-Monday forecast. Less than perfect weather for the start of June.
Low presssure developing near the Delmarva coast along with the moisture remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto will bring rainy conditions for much of Saturday. It will be warm and humid, with high temperatures in the low 80s. There may be some sun mid-day.
Fri PM updated outlook for Sunday afternoon
Like last weekend, high pressure will nose down from the northeast on Sunday suppressing rain to our south. An easterly flow will bring cool, mostly cloudy and damp conditions but much of the day Sunday will be rain-free. High temperatures 68.
[su_note note_color=”#d9f2da”]Friday 11PM Update: Tonight’s NAM shows showers returning late morning on Sunday; Sunday doesn’t look dry as previously forecast .[/su_note]
There’s the chance of showers returning Sunday evening.
