Folks, I’ve returned from my extended vacation, but my regular Forecasts and Updates here on theweatherguy.net will remain absent due to a sudden family medical priority. I will continue to look at the models and I may be able to post sporadically over the next coming weeks.

I love “doing the weather” and I know many of you have come to depend on my forecast perspectives and commentary over the past 27 years.
I will be back!

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Sat 12:58 PM —Forecast Review — Not the best Saturday forecast. I got the windy conditions forecast right, but the cloud cover today is more than I had forecast based on yesterday’s models.

Here’s the actual wind gusts at noon today—

Additionally, there are light sprinkles moving through the area, not forecast by any of yesterday’s models.

I took a look to see if any model last night had forecast these mid-day sprinkles and last night’s 06z ECMWF (not available until this morning) got this right.

However, the NAM-NEST missed it, as did the HRRR, HREF and Canadian models. I’m surprised by that.

Originally Posted Fri 7:27 PM —The deep upper and surface low of the New England coast will gradually move eastward. We’ll still be in the colder upper cyclonic flow through most of the weekend.

A warm upper ridge is poised to move in starting Monday, however, another storm system is expected by Thursday.

Here’s the current NAEFS forecast synopsis for Sunday at 11AM showing the departing upper low—