Upcoming Active Weather Pattern

The next week or two looks to have a very active weather pattern, probably the most active this winter.

Following the possibly heavy rain this Wednesday, the jet stream undergoes several deep amplifications with cold air diving south as moisture emerges from the Gulf of Mexico. The first such amplification on Friday allows the moisture to miss us, but subsequent cold outbreaks next week will result in some impressive storms.  It will be a roller coaster regarding temperatures.

Too early to tell if it will be snow, rain or a mix for each one but it will certainly get interesting.  Nothing looks like the “blizzard” we just had, but the storminess and temperature swings looks to be impressive.  Stay tuned.

Tuesday 8 pm update- The low pressure system this Friday still expected to just miss us, moving to our east.  One model has it grazing the jersey shore. A large coastal storm still possible Monday-Tuesday timeframe but timing and track has high variability with different models.  Much uncertainty here.

Deep upper air trough with very cold weather next week; we may hear the term “polar vortex”by the end of next week.