Category Archives: Weather Updates

SUNDAY FORECAST UPDATE

Sun 12:59 PM Update —This morning’s models are back with isolated/scattered showers this afternoon.

Sun 08:51 AM Update — This morning’s early models have backed off on the scattered showers this afternoon.

We didn’t see any showers in the area today, but we did have that mix of sun and clouds.

The forecast is mostly on-track for Sunday. High temp 88.1° sd 2.1° (high spread). It will be more humid than previously forecast with dew points 69-70°.

Several models show an upper air disturbance moving through between 3 and 6 PM, near Philadelphia and slightly south.  A brief shower or thunderstorm is possible.

STORM ISAIAS UPDATE

Tues 4:45 PM Update — A review of the day’s weather  shows that the heaviest (5-6 inches) rain fell in the immediate western suburbs as shown below—

Cumulative rain totals (radar estimated)

The NBM did the best with max rain placement and amounts. The GFS and NAM NEST were too far west with the max precipitation.

The forecast wind gusts were overdone by the HIRESW model, but the models did reasonably well predicting the two wind peaks in the late morning and again around 2 PM.

From earlier today…
At 10:35 AM, the heaviest rain is making it through Philadelphia.

10:35 AM RADAR loop. (Courtesy of weathertap.com)

The highest wind gusts will follow shortly, about 11AM to 12 noon.

A second peak in wind gusts about 2 PM—

HIRESW-ARW 5KM wind gust forecast 2PM

Can we get a storm named with a more difficult pronunciation??