Things have changed since this morning’s models and a review of this afternoon’s models and tonight’s early evening models suggest the following trends:
The low pressure system will move slower than previously forecast and the precipitation shield will have a further westward extent. Total QPF in the city will be about 0.35 inches water, mostly falling late afternoon through about 10 pm.
Most of the precip will fall as rain—>wet snow, but some of it falling will accumulate, possibly as much as 1-1.5 inches when it ends.
The latest GFS, just available, supports the same.