Maybe you’ve noticed that the media weather forecasts have been hinting at a snow storm for this coming weekend.  So what about this?

The short version is that the European model (ECMWF) is showing the development of a deep coastal storm in the Friday night through Saturday timeframe.  However, the latest US models show less amplification and a weak storm that scoots out to our south. The newest statistical experimental models show some low probability storm and the probability has diminished over the past few days.

So the bottom line is that we simply don’t know yet.  I know the ECMWF tends to be better than the GFS in the long range especially in winter, but I’m not convinced about this possible storm for Saturday just yet.  I’ll keep an eye on it.  Stay tuned.  I think we’ll have a better handle on it within the next model runs tonight.