The Tropical Prediction Center has moved the expected track of hurricane Joaquin westward and has delayed the arrival of the storm (then expected to be a tropical storm) until Monday in our area.
The majority of the experimental tropical models, though, keep the track even more westward and southward, into the Carolinas and then Kentucky. Stay tuned.
If the experimental models were right, what would it mean?
Does the Euro still take the storm out to sea and have it miss us?
If the experimental models are correct, it would mean much less rain for us and less wind.
Access to the EMCWF model is very limited without paying big bucks. The latest EMCWF is not yet available but this mornings model had it going out to sea I have read. I’m not impressed with the EMCWF for tropical systems.
The latest Navy model brings the storm into South Carolina, but with tropical moisture brought up against a stalled front near us., giving us prolonged rain indirectly.