Update Thursday 8 AM: The GFS cranks out only 0.03 inches water between 11 AM and 1 PM. Both the NAM-based HRRR and the GFS-based LAMPS also show a chance of light showers mid-day.
There’s uncertainty about whether we’ll have showers on Thanksgiving day. (Previously, it appeared that the day would be dry.)
The latest HRRR model has showers moving through midday. The GFS LAMPS has showers possible in the afternoon while the MOS forecasts and NAM and GFS have it still essentially dry.
So I’m going with the HRRR – some light showers midday. I’ll update if things change or clarify.