Once again, today’s (Friday) model forecast was far off target.  We were supposed to have clouds and showers throughout the day.   Not the case!

I’m not so sure we can count on the model’s weekend forecast to be on target.  It appears that the NAM did better than the GFS so we’ll go with it.

The NAM shows heavy rain Saturday morning, ending early afternoon. (The GFS also shows some rain, but significantly less.) Clouds break late Saturday afternoon as winds pickup.  High about 60.

Saturday night becoming very windy and cold as low pressure tracks through Pennsylvania.  Chance of a wet snow flurry!

Sunday, mostly sunny, windy and chilly.  High 45.

I may need to update this forecast.  A bit below usual confidence.

Update Saturday 6AM:  The NAM has showers into early afternoon today (QPF 0.26 inches water), then some brightening skies possible mid afternoon before some more clouds move in towards evening.  Still a chance of a quick sprinkle in the late afternoon.  A wet snow shower increasingly likely around midnight as winds pick up.

For Sunday, mostly sunny, very windy and chilly.  Winds subside in the afternoon.  High 44.

Perhaps no one noticed, but the models did very poorly with today’s (Friday ‘s) forecast.  There was supposed to have been heavy rain followed by sun in the afternoon. Neither occurred. Let’s see if the weekend forecast is more accurate.

A frontal boundary draped near the Great Lakes won’t move until Monday.  (At least that’s what the models show.) High pressure builds in Saturday.  Mostly sunny skies with high temperatures near 55.

Late Saturday,  high pressure retreats to the northeast and an easterly flow of moisture develops causing low cloudiness.  Mostly cloudy skies expected for Sunday with high temp again near 55.

Saturday Update:  I want to mention that the long range models have been consistently showing an outbreak of deep cold air for next weekend, the beginning of April.  Winter has at least one more guest appearance.