I can see that Saturday’s forecast is going to be a below average confidence forecast. My previous forecast was NAM and HRRR based.

The area of showers predicted by the HRRR for this evening has failed to materialize.  So I’m going to switch over to a GFS-based forecast.  The GFS has showers later this evening and shows a high chance of showers and thunderstorms for Saturday afternoon.

I’ll update Saturday morning.