The dry GFS forecast for today doesn’t fully jive with the current radar trends. The 1 AM run of the NAM model shows some very light showers for PHL this morning. (Total precip 0.03 inches water.) Temperatures this morning are higher than forecast.
Apparently, the stalled front hasn’t move as far east and south as originally expected.
As mentioned earlier this week, the models have not been doing well with cloud cover and precip forecasts with the current weather pattern over the past several weeks.
Last night’s NAM did better than the GFS model with the rain tapering early this morning and accurately depicted the movement of the heavy continuous rain to the western part of the state. #pawx
Today’s HRRR model run, based on the NAM, maintains most of the rain in western PA; in the PHL area, clouds with scattered, intermitten light rain showers possible through the evening. The winds, with gusts, will continue. Highs will be around 54.
Sunday looks to be cloudy, but skies will be brighter and high temperatures will be in the 60s. Still a slight chance of a brief sprinkle on Sunday.
