Category Archives: Weather Updates

Sunday Weather Update

The warm front will move through our area this morning (Sunday) about 10 AM and showers will taper around noon or a bit later.   Highs will be in the upper 50s and perhaps higher if we get some breaks of sun in the afternoon.

Updated 1 PM: The short range HRRR model shows showers developing ahead of the cold frontal passage..   There may be several lines of showers moving through PHL between 2 PM and 5 PM as the front moves through.

An approaching strong cold front will move through around sunset today.  Frontal passage is expected to be dry.   Skies will clear this evening and gusty winds will drop temperatures about 30 degrees by Monday morning; we’ll go from near 60 today to the upper 20s tomorrow morning.

The frontal passage this evening marks somewhat of a weather pattern change for our area. It appears that for the next week or so, we will be under the influence of a typical winter mid level trough, bringing cold temperatures, probably below average.

Associated with this new pattern will be an increase in the possibility of clipper systems, eddy currents  of spin (vorticity) that provide lift and cause light precipitation.  Tuesday shows a clipper system that may bring light snow or flurries to our area for the first time this season, although most of the action passes to our north.

The longer range forecast models continue to be highly inconsistent– a possible coastal storm development for next weekend seems to come and go with each successive model run.

Saturday Weather Update

The  dry GFS forecast for today doesn’t fully jive with the current radar trends.  The 1 AM run of the NAM model shows some very light showers for PHL this morning.  (Total precip 0.03 inches water.)  Temperatures this morning are higher than forecast.

Apparently, the stalled front hasn’t move as far east and south as originally expected.

As mentioned earlier this week, the models have not been doing well with cloud cover and precip forecasts with the current weather pattern  over the past several weeks.

Saturday WX Update

Last night’s NAM did better than the GFS model with the rain tapering early this morning and accurately depicted the movement of the heavy continuous rain to the western part of the state.  #pawx

Today’s HRRR model run, based on the NAM, maintains most of the rain in western PA; in the PHL area, clouds with scattered, intermitten light rain showers possible through the evening.   The winds, with gusts,  will continue.   Highs will be around 54.

Sunday looks to be cloudy, but skies will be brighter and high temperatures will be in the 60s.  Still a slight chance of a brief sprinkle on Sunday.