Following a very long period of warmer temperatures for November, this weekend will be a transitional time to a broad drop in the jet stream over the eastern half of the US for next week.

Saturday will feature a slight drop in the position of the jet and we’ll have cooler temperatures than we’ve had in the past week. Fair skies will prevail.

On Sunday, the upper air flow relaxes and a return of moisture and milder temperatures is expected with a warm front. Showers expected early Sunday.

A cold front later Sunday afternoon will bring additional showers and precede a more pronounced drop jet, with much colder air for Monday.

The timing of these fronts may change by the weekend. Stay tuned.

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What’s interesting is an ongoing condition that I’m going to refer to as a relative “lack of very cold air” to our north. Of course, it’s still early November, but things just look a little bit warmer than usual to our north—

While we’ll get some chillier conditions next week, I don’t see a pronounced or extended period of cold weather for us right now.

Following a cold start on Monday, this week’s weather is forecast to be tranquil and increasingly mild. High pressure is expected to set up in the Atlantic and will provide a southwesterly flow of mild air and fair skies.

A weak disturbance will move through Tuesday and another Thursday night with just some cloudiness. Otherwise fair skies.

Temperatures are forecast to reach the mid to upper 60s by the end of the week. Even next weekend is currently expected to be mild and dry.

The next system that might affect us might be the remnants of the latest tropical–“Eta”. The same high pressure system that will provide our nice weather will also block the northern movement of Eta in the short run. However, that won’t be until next week.

Additional rain is expected Thursday night into Friday morning.  Clearing is expected between 2 and 4 PM Friday.

Friday night and early Saturday morning will feature cold temperatures— at or below freezing for much of the area.

Brief outlook for the weekend—

Saturday will be sunny and relatively chilly.  High temps around 48º.

Halloween evening— clear and dry with temps around 40º

Sunday will be milder in the morning with significant cloudiness, but a cold front moves in during the late afternoon preceded and accompanied by some showers/rain.  High near 58, but temps fall again during the evening following a quick dip in the jet stream.

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Incredibly, the extended GFS model has another tropical storm/Hurricane forecast in two weeks.