Will resume the week of April 10th

A warm front moved through today and a southwesterly flow of  mild air will be moving in Friday night and Saturday.

Saturday will be very mild with highs near or above 70, but considerable cloudiness will mar this taste of spring.

The warm front is expected to move back down as a cold front later Saturday afternoon and light showers are expected about 5 pm .

The latest HRRR has showers moving in by 2pm.

The front  will stall just to our south, giving us an easterly cold, damp flow for Saturday night and Sunday.

Sunday will have light showers early, but much of the day will be cloudy but rain free.  It will be much cooler, damp and breezy with highs about 50. Showers return Sunday night.

Saturday Evening Update:  High temperatures on Sunday may only reach the low 40s!

Saturday Update 8:30AM: Today’s surprise is that the low doesn’t look like it will develop as deeply as previously forecast.  That means less precipitation and less cold air being brought in.  Just light intermittent rain showers today and especially this evening.  Too warm for snowflakes.

As mentioned the other day, a weak disturbance moving along a frontal boundary will develop a surface low pressure system when it reaches the coastline.  With these scenarios, there are occasionally surprises in either direction; sometimes the low is much stronger than predicted and sometimes weaker.   Here’s the current model forecast:

Light snow will likely develop later tonight, giving us a coating by morning.  Very light snow changes to light rain and  continues on and off during the day Saturday, with an increase in intensity late afternoon and early evening.  High temperatures around 42.  (Average high is 55.)

There may be a shift back to wet snow early evening, then light snow through Saturday night, ending Sunday morning.  Another coating, up to an inch, is forecast by Sunday morning.

Light snow ends very early Sunday morning and skies clear by afternoon.  Temps remain below average with a high of 44.

[stbpro id=”info” caption=”Extended Range Forecast”] Despite Spring arriving on Monday, the extended models are showing at least two more outbreaks of cold weather. [/stbpro]