SNOWSTORM POST MORTEM

An interesting snowstorm, with some aspects forecast correctly and others not.

On the plus side—

  • Precipitation amounts (QPF) were reasonably accurate and timing was pretty good.
  • Snow accumulations are always difficult to predict in March, but there were some official reports of snow totals in the 9-12 inch range at the upper end.  (Official NWS map shows totals were closer to forecast than I realized.)
  • Temperatures were accurately predicted at 32-33.

Interestingly, the Kuchera algorithm NAM snow totals and axis from last night was probably the most accurate!

What was off on the forecast—

  • The heavy snow axis was closer to I-95, not the far north and west as originally thought.  (This was captured by the NAM last night.)
  • Total snowfall was less than the 10:1 (16 inches max prediction)
  • Winds were much lighter (luckily) than had been expected.

I’m ready for spring!