The models have been showing a fast moving low pressure system moving to our south Thursday evening and redeveloping off the coast as it moves eastward Friday morning.  Snow would start Thursday evening  and end early Friday morning

Accumulations appear to be light at the current time from this system, but the trend has been for increasing amounts.  There is still uncertainty regarding this potential snowfall.  Stay tuned.

Tues AM: Last night’s models has a QPF of 0.14 inches water for Thursday evening into daybreak Friday morning.   That’s about 1-2 inches of snow accumulation by Friday morning.

Had this amount of QPF fallen during daylight hours, there would be even less accumulation due to solar insolation from the March sun, but because it is falling at night at the lowest diurnal temperature range, the 1, maybe 2 inches is a possibility,

The GFS continues with snow showers during the daytime Friday, but little additional accumulation from these is expected.

There is still uncertainty about the specifics with this low pressure system, which should become clarified over the next several days.  (To give a sense of the uncertainty, tonight’s expected rainfall was supposed to be heavy, but the latest models have little QPF.)