As has been the case all winter (with the exception of the “blizzard”), the model forecasts beyond 4-5 days has been anything but consistent.

The models had been suggesting a deep surface low to develop Monday in the southeast and move up the coast.  HOWEVER, the latest trend is for this track to be off-shore and  miss us.

A new wrinkle in the forecast is a clipper-type system to move in later Monday from the northwest and undergo secondary cyclogenesis off  the coast, possibly giving us snow later Monday.   But these types of scenarios are the least predictable of all storms- they can often fizzle or development occurs too far north and east.

So, some snow is certainly possible in the Monday time frame, but it doesn’t appear to be the type of storm that is any more than a nuisance.    Still very low confidence forecast.

One thing that seems consistent is an expected outbreak of very cold weather for next week, as the jet stream takes a deep dive.  If that plays out, we’ll have our coldest weather of the winter next week which will dig as far south as Florida.