[su_box title=”Forecast Update Fri 8 AM” box_color=”#defcdc” title_color=”#000000″]The forecast is on track for the rain to taper and end mid to late morning on Saturday. Low level clouds remain with a chance of a light, brief sprinkle or two in the afternoon with winds shifting from easterly to west-southwesterly in the mid afternoon.

Additional Update Fri 11 AM: This morning’s NAM has the heavy rain ending by 8 AM Saturday, but continues with very low clouds and light intermittent showers for the remainder of the daytime Saturday.  The NAM and National Blend of Models crank out 0.03 inches water in the late morning and 0.07 inches of water in the afternoon. Comparing the two maps in this post, you can see that the trend has been for the system to move more slowly again.

Sunday still looks to be dry. [/su_box]

Things continue to change with the forecast for this weekend.  The latest GFS model shows the coastal low pressure system moving reasonably quickly, a marked change from what the models were showing just a few days ago.  

It appears that the rain will begin early Friday evening with the heaviest rain Friday night, ending sometime Saturday late morning.

Low clouds are expected to linger through Saturday and considerable cloudiness is expected on Sunday before the second system arrives for Monday.   Sunday will be unsettled but dry.

As good as the models are, it’s remarkable how much a forecast can change in a matter of days. Something to remember when advance forecasts for large snowstorms end up being a bust.

I’ll update the forecast Friday evening.