#Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #Drought
High pressure builds in for this weekend. An approaching cold front will bring sunshine through high clouds Sunday afternoon. As has been the case over recent months, no rain is expected here with this frontal passage on Monday.
A seasonally driven pattern change is forecast by numerous models next Wednesday into Thursday, with the jet flow dipping south to our west and spawning surface low pressure in a favorable position to give us rain! I’ve seen these potential rain-makers fall apart in recent weeks, but this one is currently looking likely—
Latest ECMWF for next Thursday early morning—
Here’s the latest available GFS – AI model forecast for early Thursday, also supported by the latest GFS—
I’ll keep an eye on this over the coming days.
Saturday Forecast
Sunny and windy/gusty, especially in the afternoon.
NBM high temperatures: Blue Bell, PA 60º Philadelphia, PA 62º
Uncertainty (based on standard deviation): low uncertainty ± 0.8º
Sunday Forecast
Sunny in the morning, then mostly sunny through high clouds in the afternoon. There may be some mid level clouds at times.
NBM high temperatures: Blue Bell, PA 60º Philadelphia, PA 63º
Uncertainty (based on standard deviation): low uncertainty ± 1.2º