The model forecast for the snow missing PHL today was right on and the short range models forecasts up to 2-3 days ahead have been quite good.  (We can expect some snow flurries today.)

While the long range forecast models haven’t been doing too spectacularly this season regarding details, the general patterns being forecast have been reasonably good.

For at least a week, the  extended GFS has been advertising a low pressure system to affect our area for the coming weekend and the timeframe has become consistent for Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening .

Right now, it looks like there will be sufficient cold air and moisture to give us several inches of snow;  right now it’s showing about 5 inches.  Way too early to really take that number seriously, but it’s looking like a good bet for some snow for Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening .  Again, forecast details haven’t been too spectacular this much in advance, but I think we can expect some snow this Sunday.    I’ll update during the week.

The afternoon run of the GFS has already reduced the potential Sunday snow accumulation  significantly.  Will keep an eye on further developments.