Updated Mon 12:59 PM — Another of this morning’s models, the HIRESW, showing peak wind gusts just about now. It still has wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. Click on image to enlarge:
Updated Mon 11:49 AM — Reduction in predicted wind gusts.
This morning’s models have further reduced peak wind gusts. The outrageously high gusts predicted yesterday and last night have been negated by this morning’s models. All models had over-predicted these wind gusts.
Current forecast for gusts 40-50mph is more like it.
Thunderstorms will form and move through between 12 and 3 PM. The actual cold frontal passage will be about 3 PM.
Here’s current radar at 11:35 AM—